NETMaths

Counterexample bank

Part C is won by knowing which tempting claims are false. 148 counterexamples; 85 free. The rest come with the Notes pack.

#1 · Probability & Statistics › Limit Theorems and Markov Chains

Convergence in probability ⇒ almost sure convergence— false

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probabilityconvergence

#2 · Probability & Statistics › Probability

Uncorrelated ⇒ independent— false

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probability

#3 · Probability & Statistics › Probability

Pairwise independent events are mutually independent— false

Counterexample: Two fair coin tosses: A = first is heads, B = second is heads, C = the two agree

Each pair is independent, but P(A∩B∩C) = 1/4 ≠ 1/8 = P(A)P(B)P(C).

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#4 · Probability & Statistics › Probability

Every random variable has a moment generating function— false

Counterexample: The standard Cauchy distribution

E[ for every t ≠ 0; even E|X| is infinite. Its characteristic function exists.

probability

#5 · Probability & Statistics › Probability

A mixture of two distributions is a linear combination of the variables— false

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probability

#6 · Probability & Statistics › Probability

The maximum of independent exponentials is exponential— false

Counterexample: max(X₁, X₂) with Xᵢ ~ Exp(1)

The minimum is exponential (rate ; the maximum has CDF (1 − , which is not exponential.

probabilitydistributions

#7 · Probability & Statistics › Probability

If X and Y are each normal and uncorrelated then they are independent— false

Counterexample: X ~ N(0,1), ε = ±1 with probability ½ independent of X, Y = εX

Y is N(0,1), Cov(X,Y) = 0, but |X| = |Y| always. The pair is not jointly normal.

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#8 · Probability & Statistics › Probability

Uncorrelated implies independent— false

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probability

#9 · Probability & Statistics › Limit Theorems and Markov Chains

Convergence in probability implies almost sure convergence— false

Counterexample: The typewriter sequence on [0,1]

but every is hit infinitely often, so there is no a.s. limit.

probabilityconvergence

#10 · Probability & Statistics › Limit Theorems and Markov Chains

Xₙ → 0 almost surely implies E[Xₙ] → 0— false

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probabilityconvergence

#11 · Probability & Statistics › Limit Theorems and Markov Chains

An irreducible chain with a stationary distribution converges to it— false

Counterexample: The two-state chain that swaps deterministically (period 2)

½, ½) is stationary and unique, but oscillates between 0 and 1. Aperiodicity is required.

probabilitymarkov

#12 · Probability & Statistics › Limit Theorems and Markov Chains

A recurrent chain has a stationary distribution— false

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probabilitymarkov