Let be 5 urns such that urn U_k contains balls, out of which 2k are white balls and are black balls, k = 1, 2, …, 5. An urn is selected with probability of selecting urn U_k being proportional to (k + 2). A ball is chosen randomly from the selected urn. Then, the probability that the urn was selected, given that the ball drawn is white, is equal to
Part BCSIR NET December 2024the-weights-cancel-against-the-white-fraction
The weights cancel against the white fraction
Related counterexample: Pairwise independent events are mutually independent
- symmetry of dependenceJune 2023
- the selection weight cancels the white fractionDecember 2024
- conditioning is a measure only for fixed conditionJune 2024
The chapter behind this: Probability axioms, conditioning and independence — free to read
From Probability › Axioms, conditional probability, independence, Bayes