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Part BCSIR NET June 2023runs-distribution

Runs distribution

Let X1,…,X7X_{1}, \dots, X_{7} and Y1,…,Y9Y_{1}, \dots, Y_{9} be independent random samples from continuous CDFs F and G. For the Wald–Wolfowitz run test of H0:F=GH_{0}: F = G vs H1:F≠GH_{1}: F \ne G, let R be the total number of runs in the combined ordered arrangement. Which of the following is true?

  1. A.PH0(RP_{H_{0}}(R = 6) = 28/286, PH0(RP_{H_{0}}(R = 9) = 28/143.
  2. B.PH0(RP_{H_{0}}(R = 6) = 21/286, PH0(RP_{H_{0}}(R = 9) = 15/286.
  3. C.PH0(RP_{H_{0}}(R = 6) = 21/286, PH0(RP_{H_{0}}(R = 9) = 28/143.✓ Correct
  4. D.PH0(RP_{H_{0}}(R = 6) = 21/286, PH0(RP_{H_{0}}(R = 9) = 15/286.

You have the answer. Trap Analysis is why the other three were written.

Not a worked solution repeated four times — the specific reasoning error each wrong option was built to reward, and why this one tests execution slip.

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The trap it tests

Execution slip

The idea was right. The computation was not.

Drill statements like this

Related counterexample: Any interval of the form [X̄ − (S/√n)t, ∞) with a 90% quantile t is a 90% confidence interval

More on this topic

The chapter behind this: Standard tests and confidence intervals — free to read

From Hypothesis Testing › Likelihood ratio and standard tests

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